Decoding Decisions: Applying Predictably Irrational at Lingano

Data driven marketing manager - Atabak Alishiri

As a marketing manager, entrepreneur, and data scientist, my work revolves around understanding human behavior and making data-driven decisions. Recently, I read Dan Ariely’s “Predictably Irrational,” a book that explores the hidden forces shaping our decisions. This book has profoundly impacted my perspective, both professionally and personally. Here, I share my reflections, experiences, and practical applications of these insights, particularly in the context of Lingano, the language learning platform where I apply many of these principles.

Understanding Relativity in Decision-Making

Understanding relativity in decision-making is a core concept in Dan Ariely’s “Predictably Irrational.” Ariely explains that we rarely assess the value of items in absolute terms; instead, we evaluate them in relation to other available options. This insight can be leveraged in various ways to influence choices. For instance, in the book, Ariely describes an experiment involving subscription options for The Economist magazine. Readers were presented with three choices: an online-only subscription for $59, a print-only subscription for $125, and a combined print and online subscription also for $125. The seemingly irrational pricing of the print-only option served as a decoy, making the combined subscription appear more valuable. As a result, most people chose the combined option, even if they didn’t need both formats. This phenomenon, known as the Decoy Effect, demonstrates how adding a third, less attractive option can shift our preferences toward one of the initially presented choices.

Ariely also illustrates the power of relativity through the example of black pearls. Initially, black pearls were considered worthless until a clever marketer placed them alongside diamonds and rubies in high-end jewelry stores. This strategic placement altered their perceived value, transforming them into highly coveted luxury items. Furthermore, Ariely uses visual illusions to show how context affects perception. An example includes the image of two sets of dots where the central dot surrounded by larger dots appears smaller than the same-sized dot surrounded by smaller dots. This illustrates how our perception of size is influenced by surrounding context, mirroring how our decisions are swayed by relative comparisons.

These examples underscore how our decisions are heavily influenced by the context in which options are presented, rather than their intrinsic value. Understanding this can help both consumers make better choices and businesses position their products more effectively.

Atabak Alishiri - Data Science

Personal Insight:
At Lingano, we observed that by highlighting the differences between our online courses and traditional offline classes, we could make our pricing seem much more reasonable. This strategy taps into the concept of comparative pricing, where presenting an alternative (such as the time, travel, and additional costs associated with offline classes) makes our online course prices more attractive. Early in my career, I experimented with this by comparing our offerings with the higher costs of in-person classes, which effectively underscored the value of our online options, leading to increased enrollment.

The Allure of Free

The allure of “free” is a powerful psychological driver that Dan Ariely explores in depth in “Predictably Irrational.” Ariely reveals that when an item is free, it triggers an emotional response that often leads us to make irrational decisions. This is evident in an experiment he describes involving two types of chocolate: Hershey’s Kisses and Lindor truffles. Ariely offered the Hershey’s Kisses for free and the Lindor truffles for a mere penny. Despite the significant quality difference favoring the truffles, most participants chose the free Kisses. This experiment highlights the zero price effect, where the emotional appeal of getting something for nothing overrides rational decision-making. The concept extends beyond chocolates to various real-world scenarios. For example, consumers might opt for items they don’t need simply because they are free, or they might make additional purchases to qualify for free shipping, even if it means spending more than intended. Ariely’s exploration of “free” demonstrates how the absence of cost eliminates perceived risk and amplifies the perceived value, often leading to choices that defy logical economic behavior.

تکنیک‌های بازاریابی - اتابک علیشیری

Example from Lingano:
We offered free trial classes to attract new students. The response was overwhelmingly positive, demonstrating the allure of free offerings. However, converting these free trial users into paying customers required highlighting the exclusive benefits of our paid plans during the trial period. On Instagram, offering free resources like downloadable language guides or mini-lessons can attract followers. To convert these followers into paying customers, emphasize the added value of premium content.

Navigating Social vs. Market Norms

Ariely explains that social norms are driven by communal relationships and mutual benefit, while market norms are governed by monetary transactions and explicit quid-pro-quo arrangements. Mixing these two sets of norms can lead to unexpected outcomes and often diminish the benefits of social interactions. Ariely illustrates this through a study where participants were asked to perform tasks under different conditions: some were paid a small amount, others were paid a larger sum, and some were asked to do the tasks as a favor without any monetary compensation. Interestingly, those who were not paid at all performed better than those who received a small payment. This is because the introduction of money shifted the participants’ perception from social to market norms, reducing their intrinsic motivation. Another example Ariely discusses involves lawyers who were more willing to offer their services pro bono than for a low fee, again highlighting how the introduction of money can erode the goodwill and motivation derived from social norms. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for businesses and organizations as it affects how they interact with employees, customers, and the community. When businesses inadvertently mix these norms, such as by offering small financial rewards for community-driven actions, they can undermine the social goodwill they are trying to foster. Ariely’s insights underscore the importance of clearly distinguishing between social and market interactions to harness the full potential of each.

Personal Experience:
We encourage social interactions among our language learners by fostering engagement on social media, inviting them to leave comments and participate in discussions under our content. By referring to our learners as “Linganoe,” we emphasized the sense of belonging to a tribe. This approach has proven more effective than purely financial incentives in motivating participation and engagement. In one of my ventures, personalized thank-you notes and small gifts to employees significantly boosted morale and productivity, more than monetary bonuses did. This shift from market to social norms made a notable difference.

Tackling Procrastination

Ariely’s research reveals that procrastination often stems from our struggle to prioritize long-term rewards over immediate pleasures. One of his notable experiments involved students and their deadlines. He divided his students into three groups: the first group had no deadlines and could submit their papers at any time by the end of the semester, the second group could set their own deadlines for each of the three papers, and the third group was given fixed, evenly spaced deadlines throughout the semester. The results were telling; the group with fixed deadlines performed the best, followed by the group with self-imposed deadlines, and lastly, the group with no deadlines performed the worst. This experiment underscores the importance of structure and external constraints in combating procrastination. Ariely suggests that self-imposed deadlines, although helpful, are not as effective as those enforced by external entities because they still allow for flexibility and the temptation to delay. Moreover, he discusses the concept of pre-commitment as a strategy to mitigate procrastination, where individuals commit in advance to a future course of action, thereby reducing the temptation to defer tasks when the time comes. This is exemplified in tools like automated savings plans or scheduled gym sessions. By understanding these dynamics, we can implement strategies that help us manage our tendencies to procrastinate and ultimately enhance productivity and goal achievement.

اتابک علی شیری - دیتا ساینس

Marketing Insight:
We implemented features like study reminders and progress tracking to help students maintain regular study habits. Additionally, rewarding consistent progress with certificates or small perks would keep them motivated. Creating a sense of urgency, such as limited-time offers or countdowns to new course releases on Instagram, can encourage immediate action and reduce procrastination among potential customers.

The Endowment Effect and Valuing Progress

The Endowment Effect is a psychological phenomenon explored in “Predictably Irrational,” which describes how people tend to overvalue things simply because they own them. This bias affects decision-making by making it harder for individuals to part with their possessions or change their minds once they’ve made a commitment. Ariely illustrates this concept through various experiments, such as one where participants were given coffee mugs and later asked how much they would sell them for. The sellers demanded significantly higher prices than what buyers were willing to pay, simply because they had developed a sense of ownership over the mugs. This overvaluation isn’t limited to physical items; it extends to ideas and investments as well. For example, once people invest time and effort into a particular project, they tend to irrationally overvalue it, making them resistant to abandoning it even when it’s not beneficial. This concept also ties into the broader theme of loss aversion, where the pain of losing something is psychologically more impactful than the pleasure of gaining something of equivalent value. By recognizing the Endowment Effect, individuals and businesses can better understand why people cling to their possessions and ideas and can devise strategies to counteract this bias, such as encouraging trial periods for products to foster a sense of ownership before purchase.

Example from Lingano and a Marketing Tip:
Students who have invested time in learning a language at Lingano value their progress highly and are more likely to continue with advanced courses. Recognizing their achievements and offering advanced pathways helps in retaining them. I once held onto a domain name for a defunct project because I had invested time and money into it. This irrational attachment highlighted the power of the endowment effect.

The Influence of Expectations

Ariely explains that when we expect something to be good or bad, those expectations often become self-fulfilling prophecies. This phenomenon is vividly demonstrated through a series of experiments. One notable example involves a blind taste test of beer. Participants who were told beforehand that a particular beer contained balsamic vinegar rated it poorly, even though they could not detect the vinegar when unaware of its presence. Another experiment highlighted in the book shows how the price of a product can influence our perception of its quality. When participants were told that a certain painkiller was expensive, they reported significantly more pain relief compared to when they believed the same painkiller was cheap. This placebo effect underscores how expectations, driven by price, can alter our subjective experiences. Ariely also discusses the impact of branding, where the perceived prestige of a brand name influences consumers’ satisfaction with a product. These examples reveal that our expectations, shaped by prior information and context, can dramatically alter our actual experiences, emphasizing the critical role of managing expectations in marketing and everyday life.

Personal Lesson:
We ensure students understand what to expect from our courses by transparently communicating course content and outcomes. This alignment of expectations leads to higher satisfaction and retention rates. Overpromising on a new service led to customer disappointment, teaching me the importance of setting realistic expectations. Authenticity is key on social media. Sharing real testimonials and behind-the-scenes content on Instagram builds trust and sets realistic expectations. Highlighting genuine user experiences helps potential customers form accurate expectations about your offerings.

Authenticity - Atabak Alishiri

Conclusion

Dan Ariely’s “Predictably Irrational” offers invaluable insights into the hidden forces shaping our decisions. By understanding these predictable irrationalities, we can make better choices and create more effective strategies in both personal and professional contexts. At Lingano, applying these principles has helped us enhance our language learning platform and improve our marketing strategies, particularly on Instagram.

As a data-driven marketing manager, embracing these behavioral insights has not only enriched my understanding but also driven tangible improvements in my work. I hope these reflections inspire you to explore the fascinating world of behavioral economics and apply these lessons to your own endeavors.

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